CBA Macroeconomic Forecast 1Q25 (Part 1): interview with economist Pavel Sobíšek

The domestic economy will grow by 2.1% this year, according to the CBA's macroeconomic forecast. The outlook is significantly affected by uncertainty about the onset of trade wars. In the baseline scenario, we expect consumer prices to grow by a similar annual rate of 2.4% this year as last year, with only a slight slowdown to 2.2% in 2026. The CNB's interest rates are likely to continue to fall gradually, with the two-week repo rate reaching 3.25% this year and 3% next year.
The CBA's macroeconomic forecast can be readhere. You can also watch the press conference at this link.

The second part will be with economist Jan Bures.